Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 109.355061 121.188808 133.381077 146.854363 161.298682 176.292547 193.006328
2024-10-27 88.660316 105.877788 124.556720 146.209455 170.499132 196.789616 227.277970
2024-11-03 76.254411 97.606094 121.885332 151.240341 185.468063 223.820517 269.737780
2024-11-10 65.632597 89.798932 118.524260 154.617550 198.172822 248.463619 310.323290
2024-11-17 57.475439 83.742241 116.274283 158.593264 211.226431 273.587179 352.061911
2024-11-24 51.231843 79.190562 115.159022 163.432903 225.090011 299.789235 395.630097
2024-12-01 42.186378 69.747662 106.744486 158.118365 225.621902 309.335525 418.909972
2024-12-08 35.753923 63.041598 101.162802 155.772520 229.372126 322.538412 446.615910
2024-12-15 31.511161 58.933289 98.643963 157.109455 237.648941 341.392343 481.577244
2024-12-22 28.174455 55.750144 97.057796 159.428408 247.067856 361.728938 518.668732
2024-12-29 26.233058 54.513076 98.119987 165.370824 261.428954 388.713889 564.752435
2025-01-05 24.005906 52.511984 97.802577 169.167437 272.788773 411.838342 606.122595
2025-01-12 20.797857 48.499492 94.156861 167.982393 277.280322 426.128930 636.585012
2025-01-19 18.101282 45.030184 91.060057 167.378931 282.486773 441.448861 668.711515
2025-01-26 16.860270 44.117564 92.032390 172.995514 296.808741 469.559074 718.546152
2025-02-02 15.422534 42.618462 91.870924 176.758942 308.442861 494.118897 763.954131
2025-02-09 14.238657 41.458468 92.159472 181.165104 321.058376 520.207027 811.788410
2025-02-16 13.303194 40.688104 93.044152 186.511446 335.167963 548.616299 863.219973
2025-02-23 10.973871 36.461908 87.335988 180.662002 331.931677 552.104962 880.032613
2025-03-02 9.353596 33.546911 83.749548 178.079370 333.511103 562.399335 906.359103
2025-03-09 8.368860 31.995449 82.607259 179.556366 341.401311 581.931326 945.910505
2025-03-16 7.593791 30.839166 82.126952 182.114640 351.009764 604.091041 989.446981
2025-03-23 7.256906 30.805384 83.882229 188.663163 367.133375 636.111405 1047.452825